среда, 19 декабря 2012 г.

While I d love to visit Russia now to see what it s like, I m skeptical that they won t eventually m


Dmitry, if I didn t know you better (through your writings) I d have assumed you wrote this chained budget accommodation in paris to a concrete block with a pistol at your head. From my side of the Baltic (Copenhagen) I can confirm that sushi is similarly for sale on every street budget accommodation in paris corner. All this makes me think that Scandinavia may start looking eastwards if things are as good as you report. 22BillionEnergySlaves.blogspot.com
Dmitry, there is one thing I don t understand: if the post-Soviet Russian recovery is genuine (I, for one, am not quite so sure), why continue to bob about on a boat in the doomed Americas? What does it take for a Soviet-born person budget accommodation in paris to get R.F. citizenship, anyway?
...they have not shut down public transportation or local shops, so that, when this development model is discovered to be a dead end, there will be a path back. Kollapsnik, If this development model runs its course, doesn t it seem likely that many of the features that could provide a path back will eventually go away for the same reasons that have caused these features to go away in other countries budget accommodation in paris that have been running the model longer?
Lucas - Russia is very highly urbanized, and is becoming more so. The cities remain compact because of the need to keep the structures heated throughout much of the year, which is done with steam mains. The trend toward car-centric living budget accommodation in paris seems to be, to some extent, self-limiting, as people spend more and more time stuck and traffic and are able to function less and less, while those who take public transportation (rail and metro) get there faster and get more done. I could be wrong on this, but I don t think that Russia will blunder along too far in this direction. Stanislav - Don t take my word for it. Go and find out for yourself. Then you ll be sure. Otherwise you are just spreading FUD.
I can confirm Dmitry s report. I was in Russia last month: it is fantastic how things have changed over the past 20 years. Russia is now prosperous and modernized. Full of light, shops, traffic, everything. Absolutely wonderful. I want to move there! Only one point of disagreement with this post: I am not sure that climate change will actually benefit Russia. Surely it will be less damaging for Russia than for, say, Italy or Holland. But think of the recent fires in Siberia - or of the collapse of everything built on permafrost. Not so good....
Ugo - You are absolutely right about the melting permafrost. Between 70 and 80% of all oil and gas resources are in permafrost regions, where all the infrastructure was built without taking global warming into account. Already there are infrastructure failures on the order of 30-40 THOUSAND a year (pipeline breaks and other structural failures). The Hydrological Institute budget accommodation in paris in St. Petersburg has been looking into this, and you are right, it doesn t look good. This is an engineering problem of simply staggering proportions. However, what I was getting at is the ability to grow food. Russia was never an easy place to grow food, and never will be, but based on the data I ve seen I would venture a tentative guess that global warming will in fact make it easier.
I ve been enjoying the break from direct talk of collapse. It s all been said for the most part, by you or others. Now we re just watching the show and doing our best to prepare and cope. It s been enjoyable to see you presenting applied anarchy and talking about sailing, mutual aid, and other topics that are relevant to the collapse narrative, yet different. it s been quite refreshing, and I look forward to more!
While I d love to visit Russia now to see what it s like, I m skeptical that they won t eventually meet the suburbanized and transit-less fate of US cities, given enough time. Minneapolis-St.Paul is fairly similar in climate and culture budget accommodation in paris to a Russian city, and once had an extensive streetcar system. At least one (St. Paul)still uses steam pipes to heat the entire downtown core, with heat generated by burning diseased trees in a central incinerator. What is it like now? Rings and rings of suburbs, with dead malls aplenty and hour-long commutes for many. The boom times of the 1950 s and 60 s were probably much like Russia is experiencing now. I m happy for Russia that it has recovered from the collapse of the 90 s, but wealth brings its own diseases.
A mite rosy description of Russia, getting budget accommodation in paris out of St Petersburg and Moscow might help provide a corrective but it is certainly a great improvement on the 90s but a long way to go before Russia is a genuinely comfortable place to be, and a well-ordered society.
I visited Russia last summer first time after I left Soviet Union over 20 years ago. The change is stunning. My hometown Novorossiysk on the Black Sea (near Sochi, a host town of the next winter Olympics) has changed budget accommodation in paris beyond recognition: wide clean avenues and alleys, beautiful sculptures, monuments, parks Several huge open air markets offer you everything from homegrown fruits budget accommodation in paris and vegetables to household supplies to furniture Fantastic vibrant festive atmosphere. I visited several small towns along the cost and saw the same picture everywhere. What amazed me most is The Shore Promenade in Novorossiysk. It s very wide and long and was the city s gift to the public. Any time during the day or night there are people walking, rollerblading, biking, strolling, and sitting on the benches. What a contrast to let s say a lakeshore in Toronto where the entire coastline was sold to condo developers. I am looking forward to repeated visits budget accommodation in paris to Russia. I already have a long list of my Canadian husband s relatives begging me to bring them along!
Silenus: Greetings from Finland. Having budget accommodation in paris visited both countries (the USA and Russia) many times, I can state there is a huge qualitative difference, and it is Russia s favor. Collapse or not, I don t see the U.S. as capable of delivering an acceptable product of this range, in the next 30 years. Wide-spread obesity and Feminism are the two major issues ruining your product. At this point, you can not export them, and must try to find some use for them in your own country. Sorry.
I was in St Petersburg in October and was very impressed with the material state of the place. As Putin hails from here is it a coincidence the place has boomed? The Putinhof was certainly interesting from the outside! You mention Russia is urbanising and our local guide was emphatic that just a couple of hundred miles south one would encounter impoverished budget accommodation in paris communities focused on vodka dependency. Do you have any plans to make an excursion to such a place, if so a first hand account would be fascinating. As a result of my visit I ve been reading Tolstoy and Turgenev which makes clear how important agriculture was to Russian culture in the 19th century. Do you see any scope/evidence for a locally budget accommodation in paris based agrarian boom in Russia, given climate change?
I recall Russia affected by major droughts. Also, I am not certain if natural gas will be enough to maintain the type of economic budget accommodation in paris development described. At the very least, it should allow inhabitants to deal with extreme weather conditions, esp. winter.
Thank you Dmitry for excellent post. A couple of things I question are: *The 70 years of gas at current rates sound very optimistic to me, where does this number come from ? For oil, Jeffrey Brown showed that with rising budget accommodation in paris internal demand and declining production, Russian oil exports budget accommodation in paris will stop by 2025, so no wealth from oil will come to Russia anymore then. *Global warming being benefitial for Russia: the impact and extreme weather events for 4 or 5 degrees budget accommodation in paris warmer will be very different than for just 1 degree now. The droughts and fire and permafrost melting that we see now are just minor compared to what is to come. at 5 degrees more in 2080 we are talking about three quarters of our planet being a big desert ... yes, relatively Russia might be a bit better off than other places, but who knows with such drastic climate changes. By that analysis, I hope Russia does Not have 70 years of natural gas and decades of oil to burn. Anyone interested in living really sustainably without carbon emissions in Russia budget accommodation in paris ?
Post-Soviet Lessons for a Post-American Century budget accommodation in paris Leçons post-soviétiques pour un siècle post-américain Lecciones post-soviéticas para un siglo post-americano Lições Pós-Soviéticas para um Século Pós-Americano アメリカの世紀後のためのソビエト後の教訓 Thriving in an Age of Collapse Our Village The New Age of Sail The Despotism of the Image

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